Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 1191.982061 1359.797424 1548.392384 1777.119596 2048.446504 2361.793877 2753.603555
2025-06-29 913.983804 1124.278949 1383.768789 1731.733527 2192.611871 2791.442032 3644.013605
2025-07-06 757.156175 975.789478 1261.861485 1671.210397 2254.761898 3077.242647 4362.689784
2025-07-13 688.231236 922.710935 1245.336480 1734.022970 2478.182005 3608.656205 5539.399421
2025-07-20 623.924748 863.736029 1207.560697 1753.668784 2633.303708 4059.792142 6698.130664
2025-07-27 577.419386 822.445963 1186.941795 1791.441406 2817.157543 4586.694228 8123.388823
2025-08-03 536.696312 783.839821 1163.698553 1818.635133 2984.111473 5114.211445 9699.789313
2025-08-10 509.243005 761.780867 1162.338279 1879.650800 3217.809618 5810.422800 11838.782858
2025-08-17 478.308880 730.454737 1141.469503 1902.462543 3383.177159 6408.234315 13966.345835
2025-08-24 448.414171 697.549734 1113.736448 1907.968219 3514.375704 6963.096617 16194.084486
2025-08-31 422.436461 668.527014 1089.172547 1915.213328 3649.098024 7555.649297 18755.129933
2025-09-07 403.012650 648.751800 1078.521355 1947.152684 3840.723154 8325.994802 22156.825729
2025-09-14 369.902158 603.355133 1018.964237 1878.170263 3808.220797 8567.794047 24152.133760
2025-09-21 341.980930 565.113039 969.405791 1824.276383 3803.523881 8889.426876 26617.903027
2025-09-28 315.844538 527.922063 918.201175 1760.142271 3763.041538 9105.806933 28842.970276
2025-10-05 307.469931 522.542601 927.423487 1827.050409 4055.471584 10346.037570 35776.460607
2025-10-12 294.697218 507.801856 916.652956 1847.993076 4235.906861 11316.164580 42339.066457
2025-10-19 284.910494 497.896126 914.520640 1888.265234 4476.449067 12561.524069 51244.619026
2025-10-26 274.759407 486.434310 908.005849 1917.266035 4692.793857 13809.306592 61398.809723
2025-11-02 268.502193 482.106404 915.940445 1982.358715 5028.370100 15618.414586 76828.400100
2025-11-09 259.170339 470.868528 907.964981 2006.702564 5248.583966 17091.987766 92121.224325
2025-11-16 249.035463 457.243760 893.522805 2012.578649 5413.661405 18422.303782 108375.006535
2025-11-23 239.755383 444.722149 880.418074 2020.311566 5587.733905 19876.382784 128048.184765